Forecasting and its prospects in psychological science(reply to participants of the discussion)

 
PIIS020595920002989-3-1
DOI10.31857/S020595920002989-3
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Occupation: scientific supervisor of the Institute of Psychology of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Affiliation: Institute of Psychology RAS
Address: Russian Federation
Occupation: Head of the laboratory of social and economic psychology
Affiliation: Institute of Psychology, RAS
Address: 13, Yaroslavskaya str., Moscow, 129366
Occupation: deputy director of Institute of Psychology RAS
Affiliation: Institute of Psychology RAS
Address: Russian Federation
Journal namePsikhologicheskii zhurnal
EditionVolume 40 Issue 1
Pages118-125
Abstract

The authors give an answer to the participants of the discussion about the forecast of psychological science and practice development up to 2030 which was published in the Journal along with the speeches of these participants. The authors mention difficulties of forecasting and the data demonstrating that forecasts rarely come true. At the same time they share the opinion of P. Dickson who stated that false forecasts are not necessarily bad ones because they carry out many useful functions helping in particular to understand better the past and comprehend the present. Some other problems raised by the participants of the discussion like the specificity of Russian psychology and it’s relation with world’s psychology centered in the Westare also considered. The issues of psychological science crisis, lesser optimism of experts towards prospects of Russian psychological science and practice in comparison with the other countries’ ones, etc. are discussed as well.

Keywordspsychological science and practice, future, forecast, expert poll, discussion, specificity, world’s mainstream, crisis
Acknowledgmentpsychological science and practice, future, forecast, expert poll, discussion, specificity, world’s mainstream, crisis
Received25.02.2019
Publication date26.02.2019
Number of characters27369
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