Megatrends of Latin America's development and Russia's economic interests

 
PIIS0044748X0025602-1-1
DOI10.31857/S0044748X0025602-1
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Affiliation: Institute of Scientific Information for the Social Sciences, RAS
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Journal nameLatin America
EditionIssue 6
Pages6-22
Abstract

Against the background of the main global transformations and from the point of view of Russia's interests, the article analyzes the main trends (megatrends) characterizing the state and prospects for the development of Latin American countries. The author shows the configuration of the modern regional economic order, fixes the main landmarks, problematic topics and systemic intrigues of the current strategy of economic growth. The study focuses on new phenomena that determine the vector of transformations of key sectors of the Latin American economy - industry, finance, energy, mining, agriculture. It is shown that the focus of efforts of the state and the business community is shifting towards the priority development of those sectors whose products are especially in demand in regional and world markets. In each case, the possibilities of participation of Russian companies in the process of regional modernization are identified, as well as the difficulties and barriers faced by domestic business in the acute competition for Latin American markets. Special attention is paid to the attempts of overcoming regional political delimitation and updating the mechanisms and formats of intra-Latin American trade and economic cooperation. It is proved that there is no alternative to a new unifying economic strategy of the countries of the region, which imperatively includes a reboot of the stalled integration processes. The result of the analysis is that the consolidation of the trend of changes in the Latin American economy requires from the Russian state and business in many respects innovative and comprehensively calculated foreign economic decisions that take into account the new realities of Latin America and meet the long-term national interests of Russia.

KeywordsLatin America, global economy, technological re-equipment, "nearshoring", "friend-shoring"
AcknowledgmentThe study was carried out with the financial support of the Russian Science Foundation, grant project No.22-28-01298 "Promotion of Russian products of high redistribution to the markets of Latin America: opportunities and risks of the post Covid period”.
Received03.04.2023
Publication date28.06.2023
Number of characters33576
Cite  
100 rub.
When subscribing to an article or issue, the user can download PDF, evaluate the publication or contact the author. Need to register.

Number of purchasers: 0, views: 304

Readers community rating: votes 0

1. Концепция внешней политики Российской Федерации (утверждена Президентом Российской Федерации В.В. Путиным 31 марта 2023 г.). 31.03.2023. [Kontseptsiya vneshnei politiki Rossiiskoi Federatsii (utverzhdena Prezidentom Rossiiskoi Federatsii V.V. Putinym 31 marta 2023 g.). [Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation (approved by the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin on March 31, 2023)]. Available at: https://www.mid.ru/tv/?id=1860586&lang=ru (accessed 2.04.2023) (In Russ.).

2. Stuenkel J. Latin America in 2023: Five Trends to Watch. 13.12.2022. Available at: https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/latin-america-in-2023-five-trends-to-watch/ (accessed 26.03.2023).

3. Ellis E.R. La Tormenta Perfecta de América Latina. 22.08.2022. Available at: https://revanellis.com/la-tormenta-perfecta-de-america-latina (accessed 23.03.2023).

4. IADB. Preparing the Macroeconomic Terrain for Renewed Growth. 2023 Latin American and Caribbean Macroeconomic Report. Washington, Inter-American Development Bank, 2023, 96 p.

5. Jara F. El presidente del BID advirtiό que crisis superpuestas ensombrecen las perspectivas econόmicas de América Latina. 19.03.2023. Available at: https://www.infobae.com/america/america-latina/2023/03/19/el-presidente-del-bid-advirtio-que-crisis-superpuestas-ensombrecen-las-perspectivas-economicas-de-america-latina/ (accessed 21.03.2023).

6. Arreaza Coll A. Latin America’s Inequality is Taking a Toll on Governance. 08.02.2023. Available at: https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/latin-americas-inequality-is-taking-a-toll-on-governance/ (accessed 29.03.2023).

7. CEPAL. Un camino digital para el desarrollo sostenible de América Latina y el Caribe. Santiago, Naciones Unidas, 2022, 113 p.

8. The World Bank. Social and infrastructure investments can drive growth and shared prosperity in Latin America and the Caribbean. 04.10.2022. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/10/04/ (accessed 26.03.2023).

9. Возможности и пределы инновационного развития Латинской Америки (отв. ред. Л.Н. Симонова). М., ИЛА РАН, 2017, 552 с. [Vozmozhnosti i predely innovatsionnogo razvitiya Latinskoi Ameriki (otv. red. L.N. Simonova) [Opportunities and limits of innovative development of Latin America]. Mosсow, ILA RAN, 2017, 552 p. (In Russ.).

10. Симонова Л.Н. Цифровая трансформация экономики Латинской Америки. Латинская Америка. М., 2022, № 5, сс. 8-27. [Simonova L.N. Tsifrovaya transformatsiya ekonomiki Latinskoi Ameriki [Digital transformation of the economy of Latin America]. Latinskaja Amerika. Mosсow, 2022, N 5, рр. 8-27 (In Russ.).

11. Лавут А.А. Роль ЭКЛАК в разработке основ региональной стратегии цифровизации экономики. Латинская Америка. М., 2022, № 7, сс. 6-20 [Lavut A.A. Rol' EKLAK v razrabotke osnov regional'noi strategii tsifrovizatsii ekonomiki [The role of ECLAC in the development of the foundations of the regional strategy for the digitalization of the economy]. Latinskaya Amerika. Mosсow, 2022, N 7, рр. 6-20. (In Russ,).

12. Перспективы устойчивого развития. Апелляция к общемировым и латиноамериканским реалиям (под общ. ред. В.М.Давыдова). М., Весь Мир, 2022, 448 с. [Perspektivy ustoichivogo razvitiya. Apellyatsiya k obshchemirovym i latinoamerikanskim realiyam (pod obshch. red. V.M. Davydova). [Prospects for sustainable development. Appeal to global and Latin American realities]. Mosсow, Ves' Mir, 2022, 448 р. (In Russ.).

13. Латинская Америка в системе международных экономических отношений (отв. ред. Л.Н. Симонова). М., ИЛА РАН, 2020, 486 c. [Latinskaya Amerika v sisteme mezhdunarodnykh ekonomicheskikh otnoshenii (otv. red. L.N. Simonova). [Latin America in the system of international economic relations]. Mosсow, ILA RAN, 2020, 486 p. (In Russ.).

14. Яковлев П.П. Латинская Америка на мировой геополитической карте. Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Международные отношения. М., 2015, т. 15, № 4, сс. 20-28 [Yakovlev P.P. Latinskaya Amerika na mirovoi geopoliticheskoi karte. [Latin America on the world geopolitical map]. Vestnik Rossiiskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Mosсow, 2015, t. 15, N 4, рр. 20-28 (In Russ.).

15. Яковлев П.П. Интеграция в Латинской Америке: центростремительные и центробежные тренды. Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право. М., 2017, т. 10, № 4, сс. 86-100 [Yakovlev P.P. Integratsiya v Latinskoi Amerike: tsentrostremitel'nye i tsentrobezhnye trendy [Integration in Latin America: Centripetal and Centrifugal Trends]. Kontury global'nykh transformatsii: politika, ekonomika, parvo. Mosсow, 2017, t. 10, N 4, рр. 86-100 (In Russ.).

16. Yakovlev P.P. The Trends Changing the Economies of Latin America. Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Mosсow, 2022, vol. 92, suppl.9, pp. 865-877.

17. Яковлев П.П. Риски мировой рецессии в условиях кризиса глобализации. Мировая экономика и международные отношения. М., 2020, т. 64, № 2, сс. 3-14. [Yakovlev P.P. Riski mirovoi retsessii v usloviyakh krizisa globalizatsii. [Risks of world recession in the context of the crisis of globalization]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Mosсow, 2020, t. 64, N 2, рр. 3-14 (In Russ.).

18. CEPAL. Balance Preliminar de las Economías de América Latina y el Caribe. 2021. Santiago, Naciones Unidas, 2022, 185 p.

19. Яковлев П.П., Яковлева Н.М. Протестный потенциал Латинской Америки: региональный срез глобального феномена. Мировая экономика и международные отношения. М., 2020, т. 64, № 7, сс. 89-99 [Yakovlev P.P., Yakovleva N.M. Protestnyi potentsial Latinskoi Ameriki: regional'nyi srez global'nogo fenomena [Protest potential of Latin America: a regional slice of the global phenomenon]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Mosсow, 2020, t. 64, N 7, рр. 89-99 (In Russ.).

20. Dalio R. Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fall. New York, Avid Reader Press / Simon & Schuster, 2021, 576 p.

21. Комолов О.О. Деглобализация: новые тенденции и вызовы мировой экономике. Вестник РЭУ им. Г.В. Плеханова. М., 2021, т. 18, № 2 (116), сс. 34-47 [Komolov O.O. Deglobalizatsiya: novye tendentsii i vyzovy mirovoi ekonomike [Deglobalization: new trends and challenges to the world economy]. Vestnik REU im. G.V. Plekhanova. Mosсow, 2021, t. 18, N 2 (116), рр. 34-47 (In Russ.).

22. Яковлев П.П. Модель “nearshoring” – концепция новой экономики Латинской Америки. Мировая экономика и международные отношения. М., 2023, т. 67, № 2, сс. 93-103 [Yakovlev P.P. Model' “nearshoring” – kontseptsiya novoi ekonomiki Latinskoi Ameriki [Model "nearshoring" – the concept of the new economy of Latin America]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Mosсow, 2023, t. 67, N 2, рр. 93-103 (In Russ.).

23. El documento final de la CELAC, punto por punto: del compromiso con la democracia a la integraciόn regional. Ámbito. Buenos Aires, 24.01.2023.

24. México es el segundo país con mayor número de fintech en América Latina. 22.03.2023, según informe. Available at: https://finanzasdigital.com/2023/03/mexico-es-el-segundo-pais-con-mayor-numero-de-fintech-en-america-latina/ (accessed 28.03.2023).

25. Banco de España. El Sandbox y la transformaciόn digital de la economía. 18.03.2019. Available at: https://clientebancario.bde.es/pcb/es/blog/El_Sandbox_y_la_93c3333bb4f8961.html (accessed 26.03.2023).

26. CEPAL. Perspectivas del Comercio Internacional de América Latina y el Caribe. El desafío de dinamizar las exportaciones manufactureras. 2022. Santiago, Naciones Unidas, 2023, 185 p.

27. Efecto Tesla: Jalisco acelerará en certificaciόn para insertarse en cadenas de suministro de la compañía de Elon Musk. 03.03.2023. Available at: https:// www.americaeconomia.com/negocios-industrias/efecto-tesla-jalisco (accessed 16.03.2023).

28. Lozano Girόn I. Startups: ¿Qué países captaron el mayor número de inversions en los últimos dos años? El Comercio. Lima, 13.09.2022.

29. Julius Baer: ¿Qué esperar para las inversiones en 2023? 10.03.2023. Available at: https://www.americaeconomia.com/economia-y-mercados/julius-baer-que-esperar-para-las-inversiones-en-2023 (accessed 20.03.2023).

30. What’s wrong with the banks. 16.03.2023. Available at: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/03/16/whats-wrong-with-the-banks?itm_source=parse-ly-api (accessed 27.03.2023).

31. Villena H. Cayman sandwich: what is it and why does it taste so good? 30.08.2022. Available at: https://www.latidud.com/en/blog/cayman-sandwich-corporate-structure-startups (accessed 26.03.2023).

32. Цифровая экономика: 2023: краткий статистический сборник. М., НИУ ВШЭ, 2023, 120 с. [Tsifrovaya ekonomika: 2023: kratkii statisticheskii sbornik. [Digital Economy: 2023: A Brief Statistical Compendium]. Mosсow, NIU VShE, 2023, 120 р. (In Russ.).

33. Rijk G., Kuepper B. Vaca Muerta Basin: An Oil & Gas Trap. Amsterdam, Profundo, 2022, 32 p.

34. Feliba D. Can a Pipeline Fix Argentina’s Economy and Sway the Election? 28.02.2023. Available at: https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/can-a-pipeline-fix-argentinas-economy-and-sway-the-election/ (accessed 20.03.2023).

35. Global Energy Monitor. Una Carrera hacia la cima: América Latina 2023. Available at: https://miningpress.com/pdfjs/web/viewer.php?file= (accessed 27.03.2023).

36. Cerro Dominador concentrated solar power plant inaugurated in Chile. 09.06.2021. Available at: https://www.evwind.es/2021/06/09/cerro-dominador-concentrated-solar-power-plant-inaugurated-in-chile/81175 (accessed 11.03.2023).

37. Bartlett J. Chile apuesta al hidrogeno verde. Finanzas & Desarrollo. New York, diciembre de 2022, рр. 42-43.

38. Chile puede convertirse en líder mundial en la producciόn global de hidrόgeno verde. 10.01.2023. Available at: https://www.iagua.es/noticias/icex-espana-exportacion-e-inversiones/chile-puede-convertirse-lider-mundial-produccion (accessed 22.03.2023).

39. Росатом поставит урановую продукцию в Латинскую Америку. 06.12.2022. [Rosatom postavit uranovuyu produktsiyu v Latinskuyu Ameriku. [Rosatom will supply uranium products to Latin America]. 06.12.2022. Available at: https://www.rosatom.ru/journalist/news/ros-atom-postavit-uranovuyu-produktsiyu-v-latinskuyu-ameriku/ (accessed 10.03.2023). (In Russ.).

40. U.S. Geological Survey, 2023, Mineral commodity summaries 2023. Available at: https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2023/mcs2023.pdf (accessed 29.03.2023).

41. Gobierno de Chile espera ingresar este año al Congreso Proyecto para concretar la Empresa Nacional del Litio. 6.03.2023. Available at: https:// www.americaeconomia.com/negocios-industrias/gobierno-de-chile-espera-ingresar-este-ano-al-congreso-proyecto-para-concretar (accessed 20.03.2023).

42. Barbuto C. Litio: la posibilidad de superar la producciόn de Chile. 18.02.2023. Available at: https://mase.lmneuquen.com/litio/litio-la-posibilidad-superar-la-produccion-chile-n995748 (accessed 16.03.2023).

43. Lorenzo E. Litio en América Latina: preocupaciόn en Estados Unidos por la actividad china “en su patio tresero”. 11.03.2023. Available at: https://mundopoder.com/litio-en-america-latina-preocupacion-en-estados-unidos-por-la-actividad-china-en-su-patio-trasero/ (accessed 25.03.2023).

44. Alpha Lithium: CEO Update on Upcoming Catalysts and Current Developments. 7.06.2022. Available at: https://www.commodity-tv.com/play/alpha-lithium-ceo-update-on-upcoming-catalysts-and-current-developments/ (accessed 26.03.2023).

45. Hacia una seguridad alimentaria y nutricional sostenible en América Latina y el Caribe en respuesta a la crisis alimentaria mundial. Diciembre de 2022. Available at: https://www.cepal.org/en/node/57999 (accessed 20.03.2023).

46. Global Report on Food Crisis – 2022. 04.05.2022. Available at: https:// www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-2022 (accessed 13.03.2023).

47. ITC. Trade map. Trade statistics for international business development. Bilateral trade between Russian Federation and Brazil. Available at: https://www.trademap.org/Bilateral_TS.aspx?nvpm= (accessed 26.03.2023).

48. Naciones Unidas. América Latina frente a un triple desafío: el hambre, la pobreza y la producciόn de alimentos. Available at: https://news.un.org/es/story/2022/12/1517312 (accessed 21.03.2023).

49. Winter B. Q&A: Brazil’s Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira on the “Lula Doctrine”. 23.03.2023. Available at: https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/qa-brazils-foreign-minister-mauro-vieira-on-the-lula-doctrine/ (accessed 27.03.2023).

Система Orphus

Loading...
Up