Foresight is in the law: methodological possibilities and prospects

 
PIIS102694520022759-5-1
DOI10.31857/S102694520022759-5
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Occupation: Professor of the Department of theory and history of state and law of the Kazan (Volga) Federal University; head of the Department of theory and history of state and law, University of management “TISBI”
Affiliation:
Kazan (Volga) Federal University
University of management “TISBI”
Address: Russian Federation, Kazan
Journal nameGosudarstvo i pravo
EditionIssue 11
Pages47-54
Abstract

The article discusses the problems and possibilities of using foresight in law. Being a scientific and unscientific form of predicting the development of a phenomenon, event, situation in law, foresight is based on knowledge (foreknowledge) of objective laws, trends and accidents and has a probabilistic character. The verification of foresight is confirmed by practice and knowledge about the expected scenario of events can be both heuristically positive and negative. Being implemented in such forms as goal-setting, forecasting and management, foresight in law allows you to take a number of preventive measures that minimize the possible occurrence of negative consequences for the social order. The expediency of foresight in law is limited by the methodological possibilities of jurisprudence, which are overcome with the help of the methodology of interdisciplinarity, which is gaining scientific popularity today. Key words: foresight, foresight in law, forecasting, constructivism, methodology of interdisciplinarity, legal policy.

Keywordsforesight, foresight in law, forecasting, constructivism, methodology of interdisciplinarity, legal policy
Received23.05.2022
Publication date29.11.2022
Number of characters39548
Cite  
100 rub.
When subscribing to an article or issue, the user can download PDF, evaluate the publication or contact the author. Need to register.

Number of purchasers: 0, views: 287

Readers community rating: votes 0

1. Agamirov K.V. Forecasting as a means of legal policy in the economic sphere: domestic and foreign experience // State and Law. 2020. No. 10. P. 24 (in Russ.).

2. Baburin S.N. The moral state: a Russian view of the values of constitutionalism / preface by I.M. Ragimov. M., 2020. P. 347 (in Russ.).

3. Baranov V.M. Legal riskology in the technical and legal environment // Legal technique. 2019. No. 13. P. 14 (in Russ.).

4. Vlasenko N.A. Problems of legal uncertainty: a course of lectures. M., 2015. P. 20 (in Russ.).

5. Zhukov V.N. Russian Philosophy of Law: from rationalism to mysticism. M., 2013. P. 362, 370 (in Russ.).

6. Zaznaev O.I., Sidorov V.V. Forms of government and ethnic conflicts. Kazan, 2020. P. 184 (in Russ.).

7. Ilyin I.A. Theory of Law and State / ed. and a biographer. an essay by V.A. Tomsinov. 2nd ed., add. M., 2008. P. 471, 472 (in Russ.).

8. Kerimov D.A. Methodology of law (subject, functions, problems of Philosophy of Law). 2nd ed. M., 2001. P. 102, 104, 278–285 (in Russ.).

9. Kondakov I.A. Logical Dictionary. M., 1971. P. 412 (in Russ.).

10. Kokhanovsky V.P. et al. Philosophy of science in questions and answers. Rostov n/D., 2006. P. 15, 114 (in Russ.).

11. Lloyd D. The idea of law / transl. from English by M.A. Yumashev, Yu. M. Yumashev; scientific ed. by Yu. M. Yumashev. M., 2002. P. 383, 385, 387, 388 (in Russ.).

12. Piontkovsky A.A. Hegel’s Doctrine of Law and the state and its criminal law theory. M., 1963. P. 53 (in Russ.).

13. Muromtsev S.A. Definition and basic division of law. 2nd ed. SPb., 2004. P. 25, 26 (in Russ.).

14. Rybakov O. Yu. Philosophy of Law: textbook for masters. M., 2021. P. 141 (in Russ.).

15. Stepanenko R.F. Causality, the concept and types of legal marginality // State and Law. 2014. No. 6. P. 98–103 (in Russ.).

16. Theory and methodology of legal science: textbook for the magistracy: in 2 parts / ed. M.N. Marchenko. M., 2019. Part 1. P. 131, 312, 313 (in Russ.).

17. Umnova-Konyukhova I.A. Constitutional futurist law and constitutional futurology in the XXI century. M., 2021 (in Russ.).

18. Feyerabend P. Elected proceedings on the methodology of science / transl. from English and German; general ed. and the author of the introductory article I.S. Narskaya. M., 1976. P. 163, 184, 185, 523 (in Russ.).

19. Frolova E.A. Problems of theory and Philosophy of Law. M., 2015. P. 69 (in Russ.).

20. Sheludchenko D.A. Philosophical foresight: a constructivist approach // Modern problems of science and education. 2014. No. 4 (in Russ.).

Система Orphus

Loading...
Up