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Forecasting as means of legal policy in the economic sphere: domestic and foreign experience
 
PIIS102694520012309-0-1
DOI10.31857/S102694520012309-0
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Karen V. Agamirov 
Occupation: Senior researcher of the sector of Philosophy of Law, history and theory of state and law of the Institute of State and Law of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Affiliation: Institute of State and Law of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Journal nameGosudarstvo i pravo
EditionIssue 10
Pages24-35
Abstract

This paper shed light on the problem of legal support for the socio-economic development in Russian Federation. In the coming years, modernization of forecasting legislation is expected in Russia. From a managerial point of view, we are talking about scientifically based prediction of the development directions. This processes are referred to the state, particular territories, and markets. This prediction is carried out taking into account the scenario development conditions for the forecast period. Forecasting is one of the essential components of strategic planning. An indicator of the relevance of work in this direction was the adoption of the Federal Law of July 19, 2018 No. 218-ФЗ (the bill was introduced by the President of the Russian Federation), which included in the goals of the Russian Academy of Sciences forecasting the main areas of scientific, scientific, technological and socio-economic development of the state. Forecasting legislative support for economic activity is determined by the fact that its own interests guide each of its participants, but its behavior affects the public sphere as a whole. Based on a comparative analysis, it is shown that the participants in the economic process act within the framework of a certain legal paradigm, the possibility of forecasting which is determined by the knowledge of individual parameters of economic development, as well as the use of special legal structures that ensure this development. The results of our study are based on methods of formal logic, systems theory, comparative law, analogy, modeling, content analysis, and extrapolation. In addition, we refer to the results of scientific developments in the field of state forecasting, existing regulatory legal acts in this area. The author justified the relevance of forecasting legal policy in the economic sphere, which is determined by the need to coordinate the strategy of economic security, the concept of socio-economic development and the forecast of long-term social economic development of the Russian Federation with legislative plans. In conclusion, it is mentioned that long-term strategic planning documents set the vector of regulatory policy in the economic sphere and serve as a model for business entities to develop their own forecasts and strategies.

Keywordseconomic activity, economic processes, economic risks, forecasting in the state, legal forecasting, juridical risks, legal policy, juridical security, convergence
Received30.07.2020
Publication date16.11.2020
Number of characters42666
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