Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)

Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences (1973—1985), Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (1992—1994), Moscow, Russia
Address: Russian Federation

Journal name

Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody

Edition

Volume 54 Issue 3

Pages

104-110

Abstract

The article looks at the economic-mathematical methods and the development of algorithms and computer software for simulation of foreign military-economic activity. Such a research aimed at the analysis of general indicators and obtaining forecasted strategic estimates in the international relations. It was also focused on the detection of the crisis and conflict situations threatening the national security. The author suggests a logic-functional system for analytical-synthetic processing of big data and heterogeneous factual account data, necessary for analyzing military-economic activities of various countries. This system is grounded on such analytical tools as regression and phase analysis of military expenditures, dynamic econometric model reflecting the balance between the levels of national economic and military development.

Keywords

Forecasting, global econometric model, econometric simulation, military expenditure, military competition, information systems with Big Data, prognosis of crisis situations.

Publication date

10.10.2018

Number of characters

830

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GOST	Stsepinsky Y. Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982) // Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody – 2018. – V. 54. – Issue 3 C. 104-110 [Electronic resource]. URL: https://emm.jes.su/S042473880001181-8-1 (circulation date: 20.04.2024). DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5
MLA	Stsepinsky, Yuri "Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)." Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody 54.3 (2018):104-110. DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5
APA	Stsepinsky Y. (2018). Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982). Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody 54(3), pp.104-110 DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5

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