Stability factors of an unstable coalition. Spain 2020-2023

 
PIIS0044748X0028267-2-1
DOI10.31857/S0044748X0028267-2
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Affiliation: Institute for Latin American Studies of RAS
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Journal nameLatin America
EditionIssue 11
Pages52-64
Abstract

The study is aimed at identifying factors that posed a threat to the coalition government of Spain (2020-2023), or contributed to its stability. Based on the theory of party coalitions, the author highlights the Strengths of the coalition, its Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats, and compiles a SWOT matrix. Based on the conviction that the early dissolution of the parliament, which led to the early resignation of the government, was more of a tactical move (to improve electoral positions), rather than a forced measure, and 4-5 months remained before the end of the constitutional term of its activity, the author considers Spain's first experience of a nationwide coalition government as successful. Among the Strengths of the government coalition are the political ambitions of the head of the government and his ability to maneuver between the interests of a large number of small parties, seeking their support.

Keywordscoalition government, political stability, political parties, Spain, political process
Received25.07.2023
Publication date10.11.2023
Number of characters30151
Cite  
100 rub.
When subscribing to an article or issue, the user can download PDF, evaluate the publication or contact the author. Need to register.

Number of purchasers: 0, views: 83

Readers community rating: votes 0

1. Shvejtser V.Ya., Anan'eva E. V., Sindeev A.A. [i dr.]. Koalitsionnye pravitel'stva v sovremennoj Evrope: shansy i riski. (Doklady Instituta Evropy). M., Institut Evropy RAN, 2020, 136 s. DOI: 10.15211/report72020_374.

2. Kurakina-Damir A.A. Transformatsiya partijno-politicheskoj sistemy Ispanii v postkrizisnyj period (2011-2019). Latinskaya Amerika. M., 2022, № 10, ss.64-80. DOI: 10.31857/S0044748X0022306-5.

3. Tajar V.M., Kurakina-Damir A.A., Ermol'eva Eh.G. [i dr.]. Ispaniya: trudnyj vybor v usloviyakh neopredelennosti. Moskva. ILA RAN. 2022. 193 c. DOI: 10.37656/978-5-6047185-0-6.

4. Khenkin S.M. Ispaniya. Sovremennoe nestabil'noe obschestvo. M., Aspekt Press, 2023, 383 c.

5. Sidorov V.V. Teorii formirovaniya partijnykh koalitsij v zarubezhnoj politicheskoj nauke. Politicheskaya nauka. M., 2014, № 1, ss. 211-222.

6. Kluver H., Spoon J.-J. Helping or Hurting? How Governing as a Junior Coalition Partner influences Electoral Outcomes. The Journal of Politics. 82 (4), June 2019. DOI: 10.1086/708239.

7. Warwick P. The Durability of Coalition Governments in Parliamentary Democracies. Comparative Political Studies. Thousand Oaks, 1979, 11 (4), pp. 465–498. DOI: 10.1177/001041407901100402

8. Grofman B., Van Roozendaal P. Modelling Cabinet Durability and Termination. British Journal of Political Science. Cambridge Core, 1997, 27(3), 419–451. DOI: 10.1017/s0007123497000203

9. Larsen S.U. (red.) Teoriya i metody v sovremennoj politicheskoj nauke: pervaya popytka teoreticheskogo sinteza. M., Rosspehn, 2009, 751 s.

10. Laver M. Dynamic factors in government coalition formation. European Journal of Political Research. Harbour House, 1974, №2 (September), pp. 259-270. Available at: DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.1974.tb00753.x

11. Shmachkova T.V. Teorii koalitsij i stanovlenie Rossijskoj mnogopartijnosti (Metodiki ratsionalizatsii politicheskogo protsessa). Polis. Politicheskie issledovaniya. M., 1996, № 5, ss. 28-52.

12. Sanders D., Herman V. The stability and survival of governments in western democracies. Acta Politica. London, 1977, 12 (July), pp. 346-377.

13. Plescia C., Kritzinger S. When Marriage Gets Hard: Intra-Coalition Conflict and Electoral Accountability. Comparative Political Studies. Thousand Oaks, 2022. 55(1), rr. 32–59. DOI: 10.1177/00104140211024307

14. Sidorov V.V. Pochemu raspadayutsya partijnye koalitsii? Logika zaversheniya koalitsionnogo pravleniya v parlamentskikh sistemakh. Uchen. zap. Kazan. un-ta. Ser. Gumanit. nauki. Kazan', 2015, t. 157, № 1, sc. 250-256.

15. Ispaniya v novoj natsional'noj i mezhdunarodnoj real'nosti: Kollektivnaya monografiya. Otv. red. Yakovlev P.P., Kurakina-Damir A.A. Moskva. ILA RAN, 2020, 225 s.

16. López Trujillo N. Aprobada la reforma del PSOE de la ley del ‘solo sí es sí’: claves para entender qué cambia. 26.04.2023. Available at: https://www.newtral.es/aprobada-reforma-psoe-ley-solo-si-es-si-claves/20230426/ (accessed 18.06.2023).

17. Kurakina-Damir A.A. Vybory v Madride v natsional'nom kontekste Ispanii. Nauchno-analiticheskij vestnik Instituta Evropy RAN. M., 2021, № 4 (22), ss. 54-62. DOI: 10.15211/vestnikieran420215562

18. Baranov A.V. Tendentsii preodoleniya krizisa Narodnoj partii Ispanii (2018- 2022 gg.) v kontekste ehlektoral'nykh protsessov. Vestnik Volgogradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Seriya 4: Istoriya. Regionovedenie. Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Volgograd, 2023, t. 28, № 3, ss. 104-114. DOI: 10.15688/jvolsu4.2023.3.10

19. Lijphart, Arend. Democracy in Plural Societies: A Comparative Exploration. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1977.

Система Orphus

Loading...
Up