Africa’s population in conditions of the world order transformation

Occupation: Director of Institute
Affiliation: Institute for African Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Moscow, 30/1, Spiridonovka Str., Moscow 123001, Russian Federation

Journal name

Asia and Africa Today

Edition

Issue 12

Pages

5-15

Abstract

The article explores Africa’s role in the changing demographic picture of the world in the context of the global transformation of the world order, taking into account modern economic, social and military challenges. Basing on the analysis of current demographic trends, the author suggests that the center of global demographic growth has already largely shifted towards Sub-Saharan Africa, where population growth rates average at 2.5% per year.

Despite certain discrepancies in sub-regional and national trends, it is the African continent that, starting from 2035, will shape the dominating demographic trends on the planet and, to a large extent, determine the quantitative and qualitative structure of the future of the global labor market. This, in turn, will fundamentally change the structure of the world economy, since the mass consumer of a significant share of goods and services will be located not in the countries of the Global North whose population will steadily decline, but in the Global South. The article reviews Africa’s main demographic indicators: birth rate, mortality, population growth rates, fertility, life expectancy, etc.

The author analyzes main economic and social factors affecting the dynamics of these indicators against the background of similar changes in other countries and regions of our planet. As a result of the undertaken analysis the author posits that Russia should have developed a new system of foreign economic relations, focusing, among other things, on the rapidly growing market of goods, services and labor of the African continent. The humanitarian sphere should become the most important area of cooperation.

Russia is able to make a significant contribution to improving the quality of Africa’s human capital through the promotion of its educational and scientific schools and broad cooperation in the technological sphere.

Keywords

Africa, new world order, population, demographic growth, human capital, cooperation with Russia

Received

25.10.2022

Publication date

15.12.2022

Number of characters

38312

Cite

GOST	Abramova I. Africa’s population in conditions of the world order transformation // Asia and Africa Today – 2022. – Issue 12 C. 5-15 [Electronic resource]. URL: https://asaf-today.ru/S032150750023554-1-1 (circulation date: 01.05.2024). DOI: 10.31857/S032150750023555-2
MLA	Abramova, Irina O "Africa’s population in conditions of the world order transformation." Asia and Africa Today 12 (2022):5-15. DOI: 10.31857/S032150750023555-2
APA	Abramova I. (2022). Africa’s population in conditions of the world order transformation. Asia and Africa Today (12), pp.5-15 DOI: 10.31857/S032150750023555-2

100 rub.

When subscribing to an article or issue, the user can download PDF, evaluate the publication or contact the author. Need to register.

Number of purchasers: 0, views: 257

Readers community rating: votes 0

1. 1986. Africa. Encyclopedia. Vol. 1, p. 56. Moscow. (In Russ.)

2. Abramova I.O. 2011. The developing countries in the world economy: New demographic factors of determinism. Asia and Africa today. № 6. Pp. 23-29. (In Russ.)

3. Abramova I.O. 2014. Demographic dividend and the future of Africa. Asia and Africa today. № 11. Pp. 23-29. (In Russ.)

4. 1987. Labor resources of the East. Demographic and economic problems. Moscow. P. 18. (In Russ.)

5. Abramova I. 2020. Coronavirus in Africa: Social, Economic and Political Consequences. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. № 13(5), pp. 38-56. Moscow. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.23932/2542-0240-2020-13-5-3

6. COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic. Worldometer. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus (accessed 22.11.2022)

7. 2022 World Population Data Sheet. Population Reference Bureau. https://www.prb.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/2022-World-Population-Data-Sheet-Booklet.pdf (accessed 03.11.2022)

8. Gavrilova N.G. 2019. Agro-industrial parks as a promising form of modernization of agricultural production in Africa. Africa’s Economy in the Era of the Global Technological Revolution. Pp. 40-77. Moscow. (In Russ.)

9. World Food and Agricultural Statistical Yearbook 2021. https://www.fao.org/3/cb4477en/cb4477en.pdf (accessed 15.11.2022)

10. Africa’s Development Dynamics 2021: Digital Transformation for Quality Jobs. AUC/OECD: Addis Ababa/Paris, 2021. Annex, table 10.

11. The World Bank Data. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.ADT.LITR.ZS (accessed 21.11.2022)

12. Fragues P. 1997. State Policies and the Birth Rate in Egypt: from socialism to liberalism. Population and Development Review. Vol. 23, № 1, p. 27.

13. African Development Indicators 2011. The World Bank. Wash., 2011. P. 312; [8].

14. World Population Prospects 2019. UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. https://population.un.org/wpp/ (accessed 27.03.2022)

15. The Future of Jobs and Skills in Africa. https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_EGW_FOJ_Africa.pdf (accessed 27.11.2022)

16. A High Standard of Living, Quality of Life and Well Being for All Citizens. http://agenda2063.au.int/en/pr (accessed 30.03.2022)

17. Fituni L.L. 2021. Science, Technology and innovation in Africa: stereotypes, realities, prospects. Asia and Africa today. № 4. Pp. 15-24. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.31857/S032150750014642-8

18. Ndemo B. The role of cryptocurrencies in sub-Saharan Africa. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2022/03/16/the-role-of-cryptocurrencies-in-sub-saharan-africa/ (accessed 12.04.2022)