Islamic republic of Iran faces new challenges

 
PIIS032150750009542-8-1
DOI10.31857/S032150750009542-8
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Occupation: Senior Research Fellow
Affiliation: Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Russian Federation,
Occupation: Senior Research Fellow
Affiliation: Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Journal nameAsia and Africa Today
EditionIssue 5
Pages12-20
Abstract

The article analyzes the main trends in the socio-economic and political development of the Islamic Republic of Iran after the US withdrawal from JCPOA and returning the unilateral sanctions. The authors review the current state of the nuclear deal and  Iran’s  gradual  refusal  to  fulfill  its  obligations  and  assess  the  possibilities  of  preservation  of  Iran  nuclear  deal  in  current conditions. Iran faces new challenges in 2019 such as increased confrontation with the United States as a result of tougher US sanctions especially in the oil sector. Iran -US standoff in the region intensified.

The  situation  in  the  country  was  aggravated  by  the  economic  recession  especially  in  the  oil  industry,  high  inflation  and unemployment, which led to a decline in living standards and an increase in protest potential. Rising petrol prices by the Government in November 2019 triggered massive and destructive protests in the country. Protesters shouted slogans against the country’s leaders and Islamic regime. There was a widespread crackdown against demonstrators. In recent years the growth of protests turns into a major challenge to the regime.

The political situation is extremely complex. Domestic power struggle is intensifying. In February 2020 conservatives won the parliamentary elections. Strengthening the hardliners will lead to the fact that tensions between Iran and the United States will continue to grow

Coronavirus epidemic swept the country and it is causing serious economic damage.

These challenges are a threat to the stability of the regime. In this situation, the most real way to resolve problems is to step up the negotiations with JCPOA‘s partners and establish contacts negotiate with the United States through them.

KeywordsIslamic Republic of Iran, USA, JCPOA, sanctions, economic downturn, social protests
Publication date23.06.2020
Number of characters37396
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