Electoral Predisposition of Eastern Siberia Residents

The results of a survey of the northern municipal districts of Eastern Siberia residents (N = 1358) regarding their preferences for modern political parties are analyzed. Based on the results of field studies processed using elements of the "stochastic modeling" technology, a sample of the main predictors included in the multifactorial models of electoral preference of voters was identified. It has been established that in this territory, the relationship between the age of the voter and his/her preferences for a particular party appears more clearly through other predictors. The strongest influence on electoral preferences is exerted by the gender and field of respondent’s activity. Men are inclined to choose the Communist Party of the Russian Federation or "other parties", more than half of the women surveyed are inclined to favor United Russia, industrial workers are much less likely to support United Russia. The revealed patterns can be explained to a large extent by the contrast between Soviet times, when the settlements in this region were industrial centers with good socio-economic infrastructure, and post-Soviet times, when the regional settlements became depressed and sometimes abandoned.

Keywords

political sociology, factors of electoral predisposition, political parties, parametric portrait

Acknowledgment

The study was carried out within the framework of the scientific project АААА-А21-121012190018-2 и АААА-А21-121012190056-4.

Received

17.04.2022

Publication date

26.09.2022

Number of characters

11534

Cite

GOST	Ignatov A., Popov P., Сherenev A. Electoral Predisposition of Eastern Siberia Residents // Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya – 2022. – Issue 8 C. 147-152 [Electronic resource]. URL: http://ras.jes.su/socis/s013216250019790-2-1-en (circulation date: 27.04.2024). DOI: 10.31857/S013216250019790-2
MLA	Ignatov, Anatolij V., Popov, Petr L, Сherenev, Aleksei A "Electoral Predisposition of Eastern Siberia Residents." Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya 8 (2022):147-152. DOI: 10.31857/S013216250019790-2
APA	Ignatov A., Popov P., Сherenev A. (2022). Electoral Predisposition of Eastern Siberia Residents. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya (8), pp.147-152 DOI: 10.31857/S013216250019790-2

100 rub.

When subscribing to an article or issue, the user can download PDF, evaluate the publication or contact the author. Need to register.

Number of purchasers: 0, views: 391

Readers community rating: votes 0

1. Almond G., Verba S. Grazhdanskaya kul'tura: politicheskie ustanovki i demokratiya v pyati stranakh. M.: Mysl', 2014. [Almond G., Verba S. (2014) Civic culture: political attitudes and democracy in five countries. Moscow: Mysl. (In Russ.)]

2. Ignatov A.V. Rukovodstvo pol'zovatelya programmy «Stokhasticheskoe modelirovanie». Irkutsk: IG SO RAN, 2019. [Ignatov A.V. (2019) User's Guide to the program «Stochastic modeling». Irkutsk: IG SO RAN. (In Russ.)]

3. Podlazov A.V. Opyt izucheniya moskovskoj ehlektoral'noj statistiki (po itogam vyborov) // Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya. 2014. № 6. S. 77–88. [Podlazov A.V. (2014) Experience in studying Moscow electoral statistics (based on the results of elections). Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya [Sociological Studies]. No. 6: 77–88. (In Russ.)]

4. Popov P.L., Cherenev A.A., Saraev V.G., Galyos D.A. Areal sotsial'no-ehkonomicheskogo otstavaniya i protestnogo ehlektoral'nogo povedeniya v vostochnoj chasti RF // Vlast'. 2019. T. 27. № 2. S. 43–51. [Popov P.L., Cherenev A.A., Saraev V.G., Gales D.A. (2019) The area of socio-economic backwardness and protest electoral behavior in the eastern part of the Russian Federation. Vlast' [Power]. Vol. 27. No. 2: 43–51. (In Russ.)