Breakdown Of INF Treaty: China`s Factor

 
PIIS032150750005158-5-1
DOI10.31857/S032150750005158-5
Publication type Article
Status Published
Authors
Affiliation:
Head, «Russia - China» Center
Deputy Director, Institute of Far Eastern Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences
Address: Russian Federation, Moscow
Journal nameAsia and Africa Today
EditionIssue 6
Pages5-11
Abstract

The article examines the influence of China’s factor on the situation around the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), which de facto ceased its operation in early 2019. The prospects for this Treaty remain extremely uncertain. Will the US and Russia be able to conclude a new Treaty? Is it possible for China to join? Trying to make an answer, the author analyzes the main provisions of the current military policy of the PRC, the specifics of its nuclear missile programs, approaches to issues of international nuclear and missile control regimes, including in the area affected by the INF. Separately, there are arguments related to China, which the United States has put forward in support of the exit from the INF. Today, the PRC is solving the ambitious tasks aimed atr realizing the Chinese Dream of achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, including the goal of creation the world-class armed forces with modern missile and nuclear weapons. Till now China lags far behind the United States and Russia in the total number of missiles, but it has an advantage in medium and shorter range missiles, which Moscow and Washington lack according to the1987 bilateral INF Treaty. In the context of its military development and confrontation with the United States in the western Pacific, China does not want to lose such a local advantage. In this regard, the conclusion is made about the disinterest of the PRC in the multilateral nature of the INF and about the need to establish a Russian-Chinese dialogue on this topic.

Keywordstreaty, medium and shorter range missiles, China, USA, Russia
Publication date31.05.2019
Number of characters25579
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